I have just finished up my paper presenting the Simulation Argument, an
earlier version of which was "leaked" and discussed here. It
has its own website at
(which also contains a few related resources).
Are You Living In a Computer Simulation? Nick Bostrom (2001)
ABSTRACT. This paper argues that at least one of the following propositions is true: (1) the human species is very likely to go extinct before reaching a "posthuman" stage; (2) any posthuman civilization is extremely unlikely to run a significant number of simulations of their evolutionary history (or variations thereof); (3) we are almost certainly living in a computer simulation. It follows that the transhumanist dogma that there is a significant chance that we will one day become posthumans who run ancestor-simulations is false, unless we are currently living in a simulation. A number of other consequences of this result are also discussed.
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