RE: Fermi "Paradox"

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rafal@smigrodzki.org)
Date: Tue Aug 05 2003 - 13:42:06 MDT

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    BillK wrote:

    >
    > There are two basic strategies for populations, r-Strategists and
    > K-Strategists.
    >
    > r-strategists
    >
    > The r-strategists approach to continued survival is through rapid
    > reproduction, i.e., a high value of r. In fact, if we consider an
    > organism a pest, it is probably an r-strategist.
    >
    > In general r-strategists share a number of features:
    >
    > 1. They are usually found in disturbed and/or transitory habitats.
    > 2. They have short life spans. The house mouse, with a maximum life
    > span of 3 years, is an r-strategist.
    > 3. They begin breeding early in life.
    > 4. They usually have short generation times; that is, they have short
    > gestation periods and are soon ready to produce another crop of young.
    > The housefly can produce 7 generations each year (each of about 120
    > young).
    > 5. They produce large numbers of offspring. The American oyster,
    > releasing a million eggs in one season, is an r-strategist. Most of
    > its offspring will die, but the sheer size of its output increases the
    > likelihood that some offspring will disperse to new habitats.
    > 6. They take little care of their offspring, and infant mortality is
    > huge. Although humans are not r-strategists, the higher reproductive
    > rate in countries like India may well be a response to the higher
    > rates of infant mortality.
    > 7. They have efficient means of dispersal to new habitats.
    >
    > For r-strategists, alleles that enhance any of the traits listed above
    > will be favored by natural selection.
    >
    >
    >
    > K-strategists
    >
    > When a habitat becomes filled with a diverse collection of creatures
    > competing with one another for the necessities of life, the advantage
    > shifts to K-strategists. K-strategists have stable populations that
    > are close to K (the maximum population an environment can support).
    > There is nothing to be gained from a high r. The species will benefit
    > most by a close adaptation to the conditions of its environment.
    > Typically, K-strategists share these qualities:
    >
    > 1. They are usually found in stable habitats. Most of the species in a
    > mature forest will be K-strategists.
    > 2. They have long life spans. The elephant and the tortoise are
    > K-strategists.
    > 3. They begin breeding later in life.
    > 4. They usually have long generation times. It takes 9 months to
    > produce a human baby.
    > 5. Most produce small numbers of offspring. Birds are K-strategists,
    > most species producing fewer than a dozen young each year.
    > 6. They take good care of their young. Infant mortality tends to be
    > low.
    > 7. K-strategists typically have evolved in such a way that they become
    > increasingly efficient at exploiting an ever-narrower slice of their
    > environment. Thus it is not surprising that many endangered species
    > are K-strategists.
    >
    > For K-strategists, alleles that enhance their ability to exploit the
    > resources of their habitat; that is, to increase the carrying
    > capacity, K, of their environment, will be favored by natural
    > selection.
    >
    ### This is a neat story. But, there is no quantified difference between the
    two strategists, all the differences are given in qualitative terms (long,
    short, large, small). If you only change the scale a bit, you can no longer
    decide whether a given organism is a k- or r-strategist. Say, E.coli, once
    the nutrients are scarce, starts changing its metabolism, no longer produces
    a lot of offspring, waits long to breed, is more efficient at using
    resources...etc, compared to the log-phase cell. A human family placed in
    Pleistocene America starts breeding at a crazy rate, overrunning the
    continent in a few hundred years, in stark contrast to the slow growth of
    human lineages with established competition.

    Basically, an r-strategist is a k-strategist in optimal circumstances, with
    no competition. A k-strategist is an r-strategist in lean times.

    No basis for assuming any strategy as universal among space-capable civs.

    Rafal



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