Re: NEWS:Why 'Terrordaq' will come - if the Pentagon likes it or not

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rafal@smigrodzki.org)
Date: Sat Aug 02 2003 - 07:54:51 MDT

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    From: "Adrian Tymes" <wingcat@pacbell.net>
    To: <extropians@extropy.org>
    Sent: Friday, August 01, 2003 7:51 PM
    Subject: RE: NEWS:Why 'Terrordaq' will come - if the Pentagon likes it or
    not

    > --- Rafal Smigrodzki <rafal@smigrodzki.org> wrote:
    > > ### I wouldn't be surprised if the Pentagon went
    > > ahead with a covert futures
    > > market, open to FBI/Homeland
    > > Security?CIA/NSA/OtherUnheardOfSpyAgency
    > > employees, so as to allow aggregation of data among
    > > persons most likely to
    > > have data in the first place, with a big "Top
    > > Secret" stamp on it and some
    > > deniability (perhaps as in a tolerated semi-informal
    > > betting market to be
    > > ditched if the sanctimonious crowd gets wind of it).
    > > Almost all the benefits
    > > of PAM, none of the exposure to idiots.
    >
    > Problem: the market attracts intel from people who
    > would not normally otherwise give intel. "Hmm. Big
    > brother Mufasa said he's gonna blow up that 'Merican
    > base tomorrow. I don't care for 'em either, but I
    > can get fifty bucks by betting that base will be
    > attacked within a week. That's a lot (to the
    > extremely poor masses that happen to exist - and
    > produce a lot of the terrorist front line - in
    > countries that produce terrorists, whether or not
    > there is any actual causality)! Hmm...yeah, sure I'll
    > place a bet. Go get 'em, big bro, so I can eat for a
    > month!"
    >
    > Yes, the smart ones would know there's a connection.
    > Even assuming they'd care enough to forego their own
    > monetary gain, "smart" implies "smarter than average
    > for the given populace", and we's only need a few of
    > the remainder to get greedy.

    ### I notice you answered my post, which contained the following words: "a
    covert futures market, open to
    FBI/HomelandSecurity/CIA/NSA/OtherUnheardOfSpyAgency employees".

    Rafal



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