From: Robin Hanson (rhanson@gmu.edu)
Date: Fri Aug 01 2003 - 19:14:36 MDT
Giu1i0 Pri5c0 <gpmap@runbox.com> wrote:
>... How can the system work when there is no information available? That
>is a definition of covert preparation, for example of terrorist attack:
>very little or no information is available to the external world. So why
>should an idea futures market work better than my, or your, blind guesswork?
PAM was never intended to predict individual terror attacks, especially
their details.
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Assistant Professor of Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030-4444
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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