greatest threats to survival (was: why believe the truth?)

From: Ramez Naam (mez@apexnano.com)
Date: Mon Jun 16 2003 - 22:22:20 MDT

  • Next message: Robin Hanson: "Re: Why believe the truth?"

    From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky [mailto:sentience@pobox.com]
    > Even if we consider only personal survival, what are,
    > on the average, the greatest probable threats to the
    > survival of any given human living today?

    1) Old age (and its related causes of death)
    2) Infectious disease

    > 1) Existential risks of transhuman technologies.
    > 2) Answering "no" to an FAI who asks "Do you want to live forever?"

    These strike me as rather non-bayesian answers. The priors support
    mundane causes of death and not these that you list.

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