Re: Doomsday and Fermi

From: cryofan@mylinuxisp.com
Date: Fri Apr 25 2003 - 14:44:20 MDT

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    "Keith M. Elis" <zarathustra_winced@yahoo.com> said:

    > Here's a thought that must have been raised by someone, but I haven't the
    > breadth of experience to know.
    >
    > The Doomsday argument concludes, as it must, that the sum total of humans
    > who will live is not much larger than the number of humans who have already
    > lived. By Bayes' theorem, we must update our beliefs to incorporate the
    > statistical likelihood that our civilization's end is in sight

    Either that or in the near future human beings will stop having kids, which
    makes a lot of sense to me.



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