RE: Doomsday and Fermi

From: gts (gts_2000@yahoo.com)
Date: Fri Apr 25 2003 - 15:16:52 MDT

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    cryofan@mylinuxisp.com wrote:

    >> The Doomsday argument concludes, as it must, that the sum total of
    >> humans who will live is not much larger than the number of humans who
    >> have already lived. By Bayes' theorem, we must update our beliefs to
    >> incorporate the statistical likelihood that our civilization's end is
    >> in sight
    >
    > Either that or in the near future human beings will stop having kids,
    > which makes a lot of sense to me.

    Excellent. That is a possibility that I haven't seen mentioned here in the
    past.

    Why might someone think it makes sense that humans should stop having
    children anytime in the near future? Human immortality is the only
    reasonable answer that comes to mind. Why else would humans stop
    procreating?

    It could be the answer to the riddle. Perhaps the probability of
    doomsday-in-the-near-future is offset by the probability of
    immortality-in-the-near-future.

    -gts



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