Re: Singularity: Generation gap

Felix Ungman (felix@aleph.se)
Fri, 26 Sep 1997 11:23:05 +0200


Anders Sandberg:
>The point is that technological development as a whole also likely
>forms a sigmoid. What we can do is bounded above by the laws of
>physics (whatever they are), which is of course a very high ceiling.
>But there is no way technological development can diverge. Note that
>this does not mean culture, extropy and information can not diverge in
>the long run, but our technology (as relating to the physical world)
>will eventually level off

When you say "technological development as a whole" you should say
"*physical* technological development as a whole" if that's what you mean.
In that case, you're talking about a particular technology, and naturally
you're back to the sigmoid curve. Culture, extropy and information
all require technology, and I don't see how they can develope without
the technology developing as well.

/felix