Re: AGING: perhaps we are over the hump

From: jeff davis (
Date: Sun Feb 17 2002 - 13:11:58 MST

--- "Robert J. Bradbury" <> wrote:
> As many I'm sure know, I've devoted a lot of time to
> considering what
> our hazard function(s) really are and how one might
> push them lower.
> For example, the general trend in the U.S. accident
> rates, if continued
> for this century, pushes expected longevity from
> ~2000 to ~6000 years.
> But getting it to tens of thousands of years as was
> mentioned in the Spike
> seems *really* difficult.

A quick thought.

Below is a list of the top ten causes of accidental
death. Now ask yourself how many of these can be
eliminated by technological means? Specifically,
ubiquitous smart surveillance, ubiquitous smart
objects, and ubiquitous communication and cooperation
between/among these, seem to substantially reduce
(eliminate?) these problems. Accidental death is
almost entirely the result of "operator error" ie
human screwup. With "AI Bodyguard" (TM) watching over
you to keep you safe, what other risks remain than
deliberate human violence and sudden unanticipated
natural disaster?

1. Motor vehicle crashes Deaths per year: 43,200
2. Falls Deaths per year: 14,900
3. Poisoning by solids and liquids D/year: 8,600
4. Drowning Deaths per year: 4,000
5. Fires and burns Deaths per year: 3,700
6. Suffocation Deaths per year: 3,300
7. Firearms Deaths per year: 1,500
8. Poisoning by gases Deaths per year: 700
9. Medical & Surgical Complications and Misadventures
Deaths per year: 500
10. Machinery Deaths per year: 350

Best, Jeff Davis

 "Everything's hard till you know how to do it."
                       Ray Charles

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