From: Robert J. Bradbury (bradbury@aeiveos.com)
Date: Sun Aug 31 2003 - 18:18:20 MDT
Oh boy, you folks are going to have a field day with this.
Marshall Brain has written an article called "Robotic Freedom":
http://www.marshallbrain.com/robotic-freedom.htm
It outlines the problems that modern economies will have as
robots start to significantly displace individuals in the
work force. (Mind you I don't completely agree with his
predictions/time-frame.) But this goes back to points that
Moravec has made in his books, e.g. "How does the economy
function when robots do most of the work?".
The interesting suggestion that Brain makes is that the
government should literally give money away.
So, question -- does or does not the knowledge of several
lawyers on the list require "real" artificial intelligence
or could their arguments be presented by a robot with
a "simple" logical argument component with a very large
memory? (E.g. essentially a legal "expert system".)
As background, I'll simply point out that expert systems
that diagnose certain diseases have been built (and IMO
would probably do a much better job than several physicians
I've encountered over the last year). This relates to the
question of precisely *when* do many of the service jobs
go to the robots in addition to the physical labor jobs.
(To the lawyers -- no offense -- I'm just trying to fuel
the debate of "what are robots" and "what are AIs" and how
trends may dictate how people should prepare for the future.)
Robert
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