RE: Fermi "Paradox"

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rafal@smigrodzki.org)
Date: Tue Aug 05 2003 - 19:41:29 MDT

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    Robert Bradbury wrote:
    > On Tue, 5 Aug 2003, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:
    >
    >> Basically, an r-strategist is a k-strategist in optimal
    >> circumstances, with no competition. A k-strategist is an
    >> r-strategist in lean times.
    >
    > Actually its somewhat different. r's evolve into k's as they trump
    > their hazard function (i.e. as they defeat any predators). To do
    > this you have to rise to the top of any local niche consumption
    > hierarchy (or otherwise defeat it). In that position one evolves
    > from r to k. The "lean times" scenario supports gene regulation
    > shifting that explains the effects of caloric restriction -- but
    > the overall species longevity (and reproductive strategy) is
    > a function of hazard function management.

    ### I was not addressing the possibilities of evolving from one strategy to
    another - I remarked that the two strategies, insofar as they are merely two
    qualitative ways of seeing the same process, survival and reproduction, are
    exhibited by *the same* organisms, depending on the circumstances.

    --------------------------------------------

    >
    >> No basis for assuming any strategy as universal among space-capable
    >> civs.
    >
    > Lots of basis if one assumes convergent evolution. For the scenario
    > of endless reproduction/colonization to be valid one has to presume
    > that a civilization would be capable of travel to another star system
    > but not be capable of either self-directed evolution or uploading.

    ### Have you read "Burning the Cosmic Commons: Evolutionary Strategies for
    Interstellar Colonization" by Robin Hanson?

    Convergent evolution can indeed be expected, with the development of an
    r-like initial strategy, but at the same time, probably without the loss of
    the ability to behave in a k-like manner. Neither strategy will be
    universal, and the exact one used by a civ will depend on its environment,
    just like in bacteria and human families.

    Rafal



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