From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (sentience@pobox.com)
Date: Thu Jul 03 2003 - 22:00:45 MDT
Damien Broderick wrote:
>
> On the topic of the MWI, I put forward the following, from a crotchety
> quantum mechanic on another list who inveighs against relative state
> interpretations. Here's one nub of his case. I'd like to hear a reasoned
> defence of MW from someone up to the task:
>
> =================
>
> Many Universes: originally/more correctly, Relative State Interpretation
> that fundamentally cannot reproduce the probabilities (Everett introduced
> the artifact that the branching is probabilistic!). Try out the branching
> problem.
> [This refers to a scientist in each state trying to do experiments to test
> out the predicted probabilities of his QM manyworld. with a state
> vector that has 2 components with coefficients at psi1*psi1 = 0.9 and the
> second at psi2*psi2 = 0.1. After three experiments, there would be 11 of the
> 16 branches in which the scientist(s) would be saying there is less than a
> 0.05 chance that this quantum mechanics is correct. With time, the percent
> of universes in which the scientist(s) could still vouch for his(their) QM
> would approach zero. The chance that we could live in a universe that
> accepts QM is zero.]
One explanation is to accept the probabilities as primordial, and prior to
a frequency interpretation of probability. Various explanations have been
put forth that try to derive frequencies from amplitudes, including one by
our good friend Robin Hanson. I think the "standard" answer would be: "I
don't know why the probabilities go as the squared amplitudes, but it's
equally a mystery in classical and many-worlds theory - this is not where
the argument for many-worlds rests." Though it's noteworthy that if Robin
Hanson is correct, for example, many-worlds *would* be necessary to
explain the observed frequencies.
-- Eliezer S. Yudkowsky http://singinst.org/ Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence
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