Re: Cryonics and uploading as leaps of faith? (was Re: Uploaded Omniscience)

From: Brett Paatsch (paatschb@optusnet.com.au)
Date: Fri Jun 27 2003 - 12:42:14 MDT

  • Next message: Hal Finney: "Re: Test"

    Harvey Newstrom writes:

    > Randall Randall wrote,
    > > Unfortunately, most debates about this get bogged down
    > > in differences between definitions of "same" and similar
    > > words and phrases, without the debaters seeming to be
    > > aware of that. I was just trying to head off another iteration
    > > of "extropians talking past each other". :)
    >
    > I have been saying this for a couple of years now. The
    > whole upload/copy question is a matter of semantics.

    If that was so some definitions could be agreed up front
    or failing that there would at least be grounds for what I
    think Eliezer sees as agreeing to disagree.

    But it takes time to define the terms up front and its harder
    to do on a list with multiple participants than it is with say
    just two people.

    > People don't disagree on the facts of the operation.
    > They disagree on terms and labels. Do we call the two
    > results the "same" or "different"? In many ways they are
    > the same. In many ways they are different. It depends
    > on the definition of same and different. People can't
    > seem to understand this. They believe that only their
    > definitions are right and that only their conclusions are
    > right. What they don't see is that both sides are correct.
    > Having a dictionary with multiple meanings for each word,
    > we find that the results are different(1) from each other,
    > while they are not different(2) from each other. There is
    > no contradiction or compromise is this conclusion. People
    > end up arguing for their definitions and labels. They do
    > not end up talking about objective reality or even theoretical
    > reality. As you say, they are talking past each other.

    Don't underestimate plain old vanilla flavored ignorance here.
    It could also be that some topics require a familiarity with
    subject matter that is just not easily acquired without putting
    in some background learning. I find I feel that I am up against
    this in some areas relating to Baysian reasoning and quantum
    mechanics just to name two. With Baysian reasoning I mostly
    just haven't done the necessary reading. With quantum mechanics
    the problem in a bit different in that quantum mechanics really is
    according to the likes of Bohr genuinely difficult and counter
    intuitive to the way we normally perceive the world. My point is
    that in my case and I imagine in the case of quite a few others it
    is not an inability to come to agree on terms or to be persuaded
    to the truth of a superior argument or world view. The problem
    is, I think, that it takes a substantial investment of time for those
    who know to give those who don't the necessary background.
    If one has to go and do the reading oneself the old old fashioned
    way its often less fun.

    I think a list referenceable wiki or a faq on frequently recurring
    topics would enable those who know more than beginners to provide
    a cross reference to extropian flavored primers. Then perhaps the
    terms are more defined and clear when the discussion starts. Wheels
    woundn't get reinvented so much as refined.

    The point has been made the if extropians were to produce a
    wiki or database of topics frequently revisited that we'd be
    reproducing work already done elsewhere. That might be
    true. But if extropians are to be a different brand of transhumanism
    perhaps they do need to put down deeper roots at the cost
    of some redundancy to be a distinctive brand.

    Also some people on the list seem to be predominantly interested
    in getting at the truth, whatever the truth happens to be, and this
    is for them a personal quest. Others like me are less interested in
    truth for its own sake but are rather concerned with those domains
    of inquiry which they perceive will have the biggest impact on
    realising particular extropic goals such as in my case life extension.

    My bias probably gives me a fixation on wanting to get memes
    propagated using extropes as vectors that are likely to influence
    public policy and help create or at least avoid the implementation
    of blocking legislation and prohibitive social policies. I don't really
    care that democracy or the law are flawed, for me its enough to
    know that these things will probably outlive me so I'd rather
    work within the less than ideal systems to achieve what I see as
    the main goals (life extension) first. This main goal is complicated
    by a recognition that it may not be best achieved by a frontal
    assault. Cryonics and uploading may be harder to sell than cancer
    cures and stem cell research. Also it is very difficult to get
    transhumanists to pull together on particular causes because their
    various ages and expectations about the rate of development of
    technologies differ so much from one to another.

    If one holds as Virge Verner does, and I think Eliezer does that
    the singularity is coming between 2005 and 2030 within their lifespan
    and irrespective of whether they personally act to bring it on or not,
    then one is likely to be less concerned with changing memesets
    about stem cells and cryonics in 2003.

    There is such a divergence of views and assumptions on the nature
    of progress and the likelihood that individually we will be around
    to see it in our lifetimes that it is very hard to get transhumanists to
    agree on priorities towards pursuing change. Unlike the luddites
    we don't easy rally because there is no obvious common battle line.
      
    I hope not to need cryonics, but it occurs to me that it just could
    be the case that the best place to make a proactive stand, to take
    the battle up to the luddites is on the issue of cryonics. Cryonics
    is likely the only chance for some extropes and likely the only
    chance for some elderly members of the community. It could be
    the place where the most transhumanist troops can be rallied. It
    could switch transhumanists from defensive disorganised fighting
    against fear to an offensive fighting for hope. But at present the
    case for cryonics has not been particularly well made. Or perhaps
    it just hasn't been made well enough for *me* to think that *I*
    could sell it to the general community and use it even theoretically
    as a rallying point. I note that it has not really been successfully sold
    by others either.

    - Brett Paatsch



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