Re: ENERGY: Singularity on hold?

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rafal@smigrodzki.org)
Date: Fri Jun 13 2003 - 23:10:09 MDT

  • Next message: Spudboy100@aol.com: "Re: ENERGY: Singularity on hold?"

    From: "Robert J. Bradbury" <bradbury@aeiveos.com> wrote:

    >
    > Give me an estimate of how many years you think it would take to
    > replace every gasoline fueled vehicle in the country with a battery
    > powered electrical vehicle? And then estimate the hit to the economy
    > while that process takes place and everyone is spending time and money
    > fueling their obsolete vehicles in a situation that may resemble the
    > oil shortages during the '70s.

    ### Absolutely never - this is the time needed to replace ICE with the
    clunky, expensive and enviromentally destructive alternatives. The decline
    in oil production will be gradual enough to allow building the
    infrastructure for oil synthesis, using technology which has been around
    since the 1940's. Germans needed only a few years to build considerable
    capacity, during wartime. Admittedly, today's eco-freaks are more
    destructive than allied bombing but even they won't can't totally paralyze
    the economy.

    ---------------------------------

    >
    > Spike -- I'd suggest you might be riding your motorcycle a bit less
    > when fuel for it costs $10.00/gallon...
    >
    >
    ### Probably the opposite - he won't be driving his SUV as much.

    Rafal



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