RE: Status of Superrationality

From: Rafal Smigrodzki (rafal@smigrodzki.org)
Date: Thu May 29 2003 - 16:58:52 MDT

  • Next message: Rafal Smigrodzki: "RE: my analysis of the Matrix Reloaded [SPOILERS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!]"

    Hal wrote:

    > Therefore, if you fully understood the mind of another, and he fully
    > understood you, and both of you were rational, you would not be able
    > to disagree about any factual matter.

    ### One of the outcomes of a Bayesian discussion about a car that two
    observers saw briefly, and remember differently would be to reduce both
    observers' levels of certainty. If John thinks he saw a Camaro and Jack
    thinks he saw a Mustang, then they will agree that neither one knows what
    they saw, but it could have been either model, with equal probability.

    So there is no agreement to disagree, but a mutual widening of the range of
    states believed to be compatible with the truth.

    Rafal



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Thu May 29 2003 - 14:09:28 MDT