RE: "Hysteria, Thy Name is SARS"

From: Keith Elis (hagbard@ix.netcom.com)
Date: Tue May 13 2003 - 14:48:40 MDT

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    Pat Fallon:

    > I agree with John.
     
    <snip>
     
    Thank you, Pat, for that excellent post. But, you didn't mention the
    reliability of the Western blot and PCR tests. Are they equally
    suspicious? As I understand it, the Western Blot is used to confirm or
    deny an ELISA positive, so if an ELISA positive can't be trusted, can a
    Western blot positive be trusted? PCR tests would seem even less
    reliable, and used only if a Western blot were inconclusive in a patient
    whose lifestyle and activity suggests high-risk *and* who had received a
    positive ELISA test. But, you seem to be arguing that no one knows
    really what these tests are actually testing for. Fascinating,
    controversial stuff. If these tests yield spurious results, what does
    that mean for AIDS statistics worldwide?
     
    Keith



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