From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Tue May 13 2003 - 13:51:49 MDT
--- Charles Hixson <charleshixsn@earthlink.net> wrote:
> Adrian Tymes wrote:
>
> > ...
> >
> >I calmly, humbly submit the existing, documented
> >infection and fatality rates as evidence. My view is
> >simple: what evidence there is supports only the view
> >that SARS is a minor disease. It is exceptional
> >...
> >
> With an estimated fatality rate of 40% among those over 60 I don't
> find it particularly minor. It seems controllable with quarantine,
> but so was smallpox. What isn't clear is:
> When recovery occurs, is one then immune to re-infection? For how
> long?
I have seen reports claiming that the genome of SARS is very stable,
far more stable than cold or flu virii. If so, then a vaccine or earned
immunity should be long lasting. How long is a good question.
> When will an effective vaccine be available?
Considering that its genome is now sequenced, and teams are working on
it, I think that getting a vaccine shouldn't take more than a year or
two.
> Is the fatality rate due to direct action by the virus, or due to
> ancillary infections (that might be controlled with antibiotics)?
Since the fatality rate is most pronounced with those over 50
(currently 55%), and that severity tends to be caused by the body's
reaction to the virus, I don't think that anti-biotics would help,
though immunosuppressants might be a strategy worth pursuing, applied
after the infection has peaked but while the immune system is ramping
up its hyper reaction that causes deaths.
=====
Mike Lorrey
"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils."
- Gen. John Stark
Blog: Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.blogspot.com/
Flight sims: http://www.x-plane.org/greendragon
Pro-tech freedom discussion:
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