RE: Doomsday vs Diaspora

From: Emlyn O'regan (oregan.emlyn@healthsolve.com.au)
Date: Tue Apr 29 2003 - 18:30:15 MDT

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    > Bostrom calls reasoning from the class of all 'intelligent
    > entitites' a
    > loophole in the DA; it sounds to me like more than that. Either way,
    > this argument can be extended to apply to any type of civilization in
    > which the resultant total of intelligent entities vastly outnumbers
    > those of the Doomsday civs. For one, such an argument might update
    > priors about the probability that we live in a simulation.
    > The number of
    > software entities with human intelligence is limited only by
    > processing
    > and storage capacity and would surely dwarf anything a Diaspora civ
    > could muster. By this line of thought, it is far more likely
    > that we are
    > living in a simulation than in a Diaspora civ, both of which are far
    > more likely than Doomsday.
    >
    > Keith

    I think you'll find Nick Bostrom has something to say on the probability of
    living in a sim, along those lines.

    http://www.simulation-argument.com/

    Emlyn



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