From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Mon Mar 31 2003 - 19:19:47 MST
--- "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" <sentience@pobox.com> wrote:
> Followup story problem:
>
> Q. Suppose that there are two barrels, each containing a number of
> plastic eggs. In both barrels, some eggs are painted blue and the
> rest
> are painted red. In the first barrel, 90% of the eggs contain pearls
> and
> 20% of the pearl eggs are painted blue. In the second barrel, 45% of
> the
> eggs contain pearls and 60% of the empty eggs are painted red. Would
> you
> rather have a blue pearl egg from the first or second barrel?
>
> A. Actually, it doesn't matter which barrel you choose! Can you see
> why?
Yes, if you are going to guarrantee me a blue egg with a pearl in it
from either barrel (as you state above), I don't care which barrel it
comes from.
=====
Mike Lorrey
"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils."
- Gen. John Stark
"Pacifists are Objectively Pro-Fascist." - George Orwell
"Treason doth never Prosper. What is the Reason?
For if it Prosper, none Dare call it Treason..." - Ovid
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