Re: extropians-digest V1 #110

Eugene Leitl (Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de)
Mon, 18 Nov 1996 16:33:12 +0100 (MET)


On Mon, 18 Nov 1996, Michael Lorrey wrote:

> Actually, the current rate is still on line with Moore's Law. More is
> one of Intel's founders, and came up with the observation that computers
> were (for equivalent cost) doubling in power every 18 months (not two

Define power. Use a biased enough metric, I'll prove you anything I
intend do. Benchmarks do not lie -- liars make benchmarks.

ciao,
'gene

P.S. They _are_ growing faster, but much more slowly (and, more
importantly, increasingly slowly) than the benchmarks would make
you believe.

> years), and the cost of the same power computer was decreasing by half
> every 18 months. This is used by software and electronic product
> manufacturers worldwide to time the introduction of products and
> technologies to the marketplace. When the price of the computational
> power they need for a given product decreases to the point at which it
> is cost effective to put that product on the market, they do so. Doing
> so beforehand is a money loser.