Re: What's in store for 2008?

Date: Fri Jan 19 2001 - 11:49:46 MST

In a message dated 1/19/2001 1:08:24 PM Eastern Standard Time, writes:

<< do not see *practical* molecular memories by 2008. Maybe by 2015, with
 a very high degree of uncertainty. And these will be conventional
 complementary-surface driven self-assembly strictly. The machine-phase
 mechanosynthetic autoreplicator (if the darn thing is at all feasible)
 has a very high bootstrap threshold, and right now only very few people
 are actively pursuing that dream. >>
Outside of Moore's law, are there any theories that cover how much time it
takes for a technology to leave the laboratory and successfully enter the

This archive was generated by hypermail 2b30 : Mon May 28 2001 - 09:56:20 MDT