In a message dated 1/19/2001 1:08:24 PM Eastern Standard Time,
Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de writes:
<< do not see *practical* molecular memories by 2008. Maybe by 2015, with
a very high degree of uncertainty. And these will be conventional
complementary-surface driven self-assembly strictly. The machine-phase
mechanosynthetic autoreplicator (if the darn thing is at all feasible)
has a very high bootstrap threshold, and right now only very few people
are actively pursuing that dream. >>
Outside of Moore's law, are there any theories that cover how much time it
takes for a technology to leave the laboratory and successfully enter the
marketplace?
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