Re: Anthrax addendum.

From: Samantha Atkins (
Date: Mon Oct 15 2001 - 03:47:09 MDT

"Eliezer S. Yudkowsky" wrote:
> Eugene Leitl wrote:
> >
> > On Sat, 13 Oct 2001, Alex F. Bokov wrote:
> >
> > > If you were a terrorist, and you had several kilos of stolen Russian
> > > anthrax those mean FBI guys wouldn't let you load onto a crop duster,
> >
> > We have zero evidence that they have Biopreparat stuff stockpiled.
> Are we discussing the latest in string theory? Are we preparing a grant
> proposal for peer review? Hypotheses that predict thousands of dead
> people do not require experimental confirmation, just a significant
> Bayesian prior.

When you are talking theories that result in seeming
justification for bombing the hell out of an unspecified number
of countries and killing an unspecified number of people and
costing the lives of unspecified thousands of our own military
and shutting down a lot of our freedoms you damn well better
have something a hell of a lot better than a "Bayseian prior".

- samantha

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