Re: Breaking News: World is 10 deg chillier

From: Anders Sandberg (asa@nada.kth.se)
Date: Wed Jan 24 2001 - 06:44:15 MST


Eugene.Leitl@lrz.uni-muenchen.de writes:

> Anders Sandberg wrote:
>
> > From my perspective up here in Sweden global warming might be a good
> > thing. The autumns may become rainier and even more depressing if the
> > models are right, but that will likely be made up by a better spring
> > (which has a higher value for me personally). On the other hand,
>
> Do the models involve a deflected Golfstream?

Yes. Apparently the models predict a slightly weaker and more
deflected gulfstream, but that it is counteracted by local warming
here. The British isles may not be as happy.

Of course, the big problem here is the uncertainties in oceanic
currents and of course in the models. What we really need is an
understanding of where the bifurcation points are, so we can tell if
we are near any of them and must be very careful in modifying
parameters, or if we are in a fairly regular part of parameter
space. Once we have some estimates of that, chosing a strategy becomes
less risky.

-- 
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Anders Sandberg                                      Towards Ascension!
asa@nada.kth.se                            http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa/
GCS/M/S/O d++ -p+ c++++ !l u+ e++ m++ s+/+ n--- h+/* f+ g+ w++ t+ r+ !y



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