Re: What's in store for 2008?

From: Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (
Date: Thu Jan 18 2001 - 19:51:22 MST

Samantha Atkins wrote:
> If I felt that strongly that it was critical I "win the race" or that
> the SI comes first and has certain characteristics then I would be out
> actively recruiting and sharing more working plans and projects. So
> far, I haven't seen this. A project of this magnitude that is
> supposedly going to deliver this major a result in a mere 7 years really
> needs this level of information flow if it is to be counted on. I am a
> software engineer. So I look for the engineering when I hear
> projections like this.

Whoa, whoa, whoa! I didn't say that we were going to deliver in 7 years;
I said that the fact that I could envision a concrete path to developing
AI was *one* of the factors behind my moving the estimate to 2008.
Incidentally, 2008 is (also) my best-guess point for when nanotechnology
starts dumping nanocomputers into AI or chaos into the world geopolitical

-- -- -- -- --
Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
Research Fellow, Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence

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