Damien Broderick wrote:
> >1) You could take $30,000, move to a poor country, and pay the locals
> >$2,000 per year, and they would feed, clothe, and house you [...]And yet,
>almost no one does this.
>
>I do. (Sort of.) ... I `pay the locals' more like $10K a year. ...
>Does this mean my vision is warped or am I a frontrunner?
I think it means that you are unusual, and so should not forecast the
future by predicting what people like you would do. Most people in rich
countries work a lot, even though they don't have to.
>... 2025/2030, pre-singularity ... with fairly smart AI agents
>
> >3) Services include insurance, stock markets,
>
>Mostly done on the net with smart systems? ...
>
> >education,
>
>... local-level AI-assisted teaching ...
>
> >telecom,
>
>Surely most of this will be automated?
>
> >security, hotels, movies, doctors, lawyers,
>
>Fair enough, but again much of these skills might be handed off to expert
>systems and fun-seeking, hard-working self-important amateurs.
Adding nanotech to the world makes a lot smaller difference than adding
AI to nanotech or adding AI to a world without nanotech. It is AI that
is driving your scenarios here, not nanotech.
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323
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