Re: SPACE: Loss of the Saturn V

From: Charlie Stross (charlie@antipope.org)
Date: Sat Sep 06 2003 - 10:53:26 MDT

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    On Sat, Sep 06, 2003 at 12:20:22AM -0400, Randall Randall wrote:
    >
    > On Friday, September 5, 2003, at 06:49 PM, Robert J. Bradbury wrote:
    >
    > >I have heard that the Saturn 5 blueprints were destroyed -- does anyone
    > >know if this claim is valid or an urban legend?
    >
    > Well, the blueprints are still available, as Kevin mentioned,
    > but the harder problem is that they specify lots of 1960s-era
    > hardware for which the designs may not be available, and
    > which haven't been made in 30 years.
    >
    > Of course, these could presumably be reverse engineered from
    > the function they are supposed to fill, but the design and
    > testing that would require might be more usefully spent on
    > a functional equivalent to the Saturn V with modern materials.

    There are more, and bigger, problems. "Rebuild the Saturn V"
    comes up regularly on sci.space.* -- there are arguments
    against it.

    Firstly, there's the customization issue (as noted earlier in
    this thread). Bluntly, the blueprints don't reflect the final
    stacks that flew -- at least, not perfectly.

    Then there's instrumentation. Almost all the avionics are long
    obsolete to such an extent that they'd have to be redesigned
    from scratch.

    Then there's the pad. Pad 39A was _special_, and so was the
    VAB and the crawlers, and they have all been repurposed for
    Shuttle ops. You couldn't convert them back for Saturn V ops
    without retiring STS (a bit of a gotcha in the current
    climate), and building new ground facilities at a cost of
    several gigabucks (the VAB was the world's largest single
    room building when it was built, the crawler was the largest
    non-railroad ground vehicle, and when they built a second
    shuttle pad at Vandenburg AFB in the 80's it cost a few
    billion for all the kilotons of concrete and hundreds of
    kilometres of pipework).

    Then there's the jigs for assembling the plumbing. Maybe
    setting up to manufacture F1 and J2 engines wouldn't be too
    hard, but those were _big_ cylinders and nobody kept the
    assembly jigs. It's not impractical to build new tankage
    production from scratch, but it's still a large job.

    There are other problems. All the measurements and parameters
    are pre-metric, some of the materials aren't available any
    more, and so on. But those are trivial compared to the big
    roadblocks like the lack of ground facilities and avionics.

    Various folks have run the figures, and by the time they get
    through with them they calculate that re-starting Saturn V
    production would cost as much as taking Shuttle tech and
    building an unmanned Big Dumb Booster with a 100 ton
    payload to LEO, and would probably cost more per flight.

    The real scandal is that BDB and Energiya aren't flying.
    Because the kit to build them and the knowledge base to make
    it work is a lot more recent than Saturn V.

    (I will happily agree that cancelling Saturn production in
    1966 was an amazingly stupid and short-sighted move and that
    an ongoing Saturn program made a lot more sense than Shuttle.
    But now we're here, the question "where do we go tomorrow?"
    isn't answered by resurrecting a forty-year-old design.)

    -- Charlie (who would *really* have liked to see
                a Saturn V fly with his own eyes)



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