Re: FWD (SK) Re: U.S. Crime Rate Down

From: Charles Hixson (charleshixsn@earthlink.net)
Date: Tue Aug 26 2003 - 14:46:52 MDT

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    Terry W. Colvin wrote:
    >>Wonder how much of this reduction in the crime rate is attributable to the
    >>large increase in legal private gun ownership in the U.S., particularly
    >>legally carried guns.
    >>
    >>Mac
    >
    >
    > One researcher (can't recall the name right now) attributes, at least in
    > part, the lower crime rates to legalized abortion. Having children you want
    > to have might imply better adjusted adults later on.
    >
    > Makes sense to me.
    >
    > Gene
    >
    > ----------------------
    >
    > The question to ask is how many 18 to 25 year old people are
    > unemployed. The crime rate is directly related to the size of this
    > population. When young men are employed crime goes down. When young men
    > have no jobs crime goes up. When the 18 to 25 year old population drops
    > because of how much sex people had a few years back crime goes down. These
    > drops and rises are really not a mystery.
    >
    > Jim R Feliciano
    >
    > ----------------------
    >
    > Probably little or none at all. It's one of the Great Myths of the gun nut
    > faction that your average criminal spends a lot of time worrying about
    > whether his intended victim might be packing heat.
    >
    > Dunno if it still exists, but there used to be a famous cop bar not too far
    > from LAPD main headquarters. It was run by a retired cop, it's where
    > virtually all the patrons were off-duty (or even ON-duty) cops. It had a
    > cop bar name, something like "Code 40" or whatever, it had cop car lights
    > and police department patches decorating the interior. It was *really
    > obviously* a COP BAR.
    >
    > And yet, one, two times a year, some jagoff would burst in waving a
    > fearsome weapon like a 4-shot .22 pistol and yell, "this is a stickup!"
    >
    > Dave Palmer
    >
    > ---------------------
    >
    > There's a gun store here in town with an indoor pistol range.
    >
    > Let's be clear about this...it's a gun store. The employees are armed (they
    > openly carry handguns in belt holsters). They are, at any given time within
    > arms reach of several handguns and/or rifles and/or shotguns, plus boxes of
    > ammunition. At any given time, there's an unknown--possibly as high as
    > 10--number of customers in the store, WITH LOADED WEAPONS IN THEIR HANDS,
    > firing them at targets. Some of these people are no doubt daydreaming about
    > plugging some burglar or gang member or something as they do so.
    >
    > And this place has been robbed at least twice in the last 10 years, both
    > times resulting in the robber being killed.
    >
    > I'm tempted to believe that people who try to rob cop bars or pistol ranges
    > during business hours have simply got to be trying to kill themselves...but
    > then I'm reminded how colossally dumb many criminals really are...
    >
    > Kevin
    >
    > ----------------------
    >
    > My first day in law school my civil procedure teacher, Jon Waltz, spent
    > half the first lecture period in civ pro class telling us "war stories" of
    > his times as a practicing lawyer (probably to impress us that he was "cool"
    > or something), and as a part of that presentation he imparted a piece of
    > wisdom that has remained with me years after my legal career ended:
    >
    > "Criminals are stupid. That's why they get caught."
    >
    > Len Cleavelin
    >
    > ----------------------
    >
    > They didn't teach that in law school, I had to learn that from experience.
    >
    > It is, in a way, unfortunate, but my experience of cops in law practice was
    > such that were a cop to tell me right now that the sun is shining (it is,
    > FWIW) I wouldn't believe him until I looked out the window and verified it.
    > As you might imagine, that made life interesting when I married my second
    > ex-wife and thereby picked up two cops as brothers-in-law.
    >
    > LRC
    >
    >
    A better answer is that the population is aging. The late teens-early
    twenties are always the high crime years. As a smaller fraction of the
    population is in that age brackett, the amount of actual crime diminishes.

    I also have a question as to the techniques for measurement, but such
    quibbles aren't needed when placed against the population ages.

    -- 
    -- Charles Hixson
    Gnu software that is free,
    The best is yet to be.
    


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