Longevity vs. Retirement Age

From: David A. Kekich (kekich@transvio.com)
Date: Wed Aug 13 2003 - 09:14:04 MDT

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    Optimum Strategies for Creativity and Longevity
    By Sing Lin, Ph.D.

    Member of National Council of Chinese Institute of Engineers
    USA/Greater New York Chapter and Member of the Board of
    Director of National Taiwan University Alumni Association,
    Greater New York

       
     Subj: Longevity Vs. Retirement Age

    The pension funds in many large corporations (e.g., Boeing,
    Lockheed Martin, AT&T, Lucent Technologies, etc.) have
    been "Over Funded" because many "late retirees" who
    keep-on working into their old age and retire late after the
    age of 65 tend to die within two years after their retirements.
    In other words, many of these late retirees do not live long
    enough to collect all their fair shares of pension money such
    that they leave a lot of extra-unused money in the pension
    funds resulting in the over-funded pension funds.

    Dr. Ephrem provided the important results in the following
    Table 1 and the associated chart from an actuarial study of life
    span vs. age at retirement. The study was based on the number
    of pension checks sent to retirees of Boeing Aerospace.

    Table 1 Actuarial Study of life span vs. age at retirement.

    Age at Retirement Average Age At Death

             49.9 86

             51.2 85.3

             52.5 84.6

             53.8 83.9

             55.1 83.2

             56.4 82.5

             57.2 81.4

             58.3 80

             59.2 78.5

             60.1 76.8

             61 74.5

             62.1 71.8

             63.1 69.3

             64.1 67.9

             65.2 66.8

    Table 1 and the chart indicate that for people retired at the
    age of 50, their average life span is 86; whereas for people
    retired at the age of 65, their average life span is only 66.8.
    An important conclusion from this study is that for every
    year one works beyond age 55, one loses 2 years of life span
    on average.

    The Boeing experience is that employees retiring at age of 65
    receive pension checks for only 18 months, on average, prior
    to death. Similarly, the Lockheed experience is that employees
    retiring at age of 65 receive pension checks for only 17 months,
    on average, prior to death.

    Dr. David T. Chai indicated that the Bell Labs experience is
    similar to those of Boeing and Lockheed based on the casual
    observation from the Newsletters of Bell Lab retirees. A
    retiree from Ford Motor told Dr. Paul Tien-Lin Ho that the
    experience from Ford Motor is also similar to those in Boeing
    and Lockheed.

    The statistics shown in the Pre-Retirement Seminar in
    Telcordia (Bellcore) indicates that the average age that
    Telcordia (Bellcore) employees start retirement is 57.
    Therefore, people who retire at the age of 65 or older are
    minority as compared to the number of early retirees.

    The hard-working late retirees probably put too much stress
    on their aging body-and-mind such that they are so stressed
    out to develop various serious health problems that forced
    them to quit and retire. With such long-term stress-induced
    serious health problems, they die within two years after they
    quit and retire.

    On the other hand, people who take early retirements at the
    age of 55 tend to live long and well into their 80s and beyond.
    These earlier retirees probably are either wealthier or more
    able to plan and manage their various aspects of their life,
    health and career well such that they can afford to retire early
    and comfortably.

    These early retirees are not really idling after their early
    retirements to get old. They still continue doing some work. But
    they do the work on the part-time basis at a more leisure pace
    so that they do not get too stressed out. Furthermore, they have
    the luxury to pick and chose the types of part-time work of real
    interest to them so that they can enjoy and love doing that "fun"
    work at a more leisure pace.

    The late retirees are small in number, tend to die quickly after
    retirement and disappear from the population of old people
    beyond the age of 70. Late retirees, therefore, have very little
    weight on the statistical average life expectancy of the population
    of "old people" dominated by the early retirees.

    Conclusion and Recommendations -

    When you get older, you should plan your career path and
    financial matters so that you can retire comfortably at the age
    of 55 or earlier to enjoy your long, happy and leisure retirement
    life into your golden age of 80s and beyond. In retirement, you
    can still enjoy some fun work of great interest to you and of
    great values to the society and the community, but at a part-time
    leisure pace on your own term.

    On the other hand, if you are not able to get out of the
    pressure-cooker or the high-speed battleground at the age of
    55 and "have" to keep on working very hard until the age of
    65 or older before your retirement, then you probably will die
    within 18 months of retirement. By working very hard in the
    pressure cooker for 10 more years beyond the age of 55, you
    give up at least 20 years of your life span on average.
       

    Richard H. Stack, Jr.
    OSBL SI&GF Business Manager
    BSF China - CSPC Nanhai Petrochemicals Project
    86 752 556 8519 (w) 86 752 555 1165 (h)
    86 139 2737 0520 (Mobile)



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