Re: Fermi "Paradox"

From: Randall Randall (randall@randallsquared.com)
Date: Mon Aug 04 2003 - 14:25:34 MDT

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    On Monday, August 4, 2003, at 01:36 PM, Robert J. Bradbury wrote:

    >
    > On Mon, 4 Aug 2003, Randall Randall wrote:
    >
    >> You're forgetting that Lee doesn't care about benefit to Lee I
    >> in particular, but about benefit to all the instances of Lee
    >> collectively.
    >
    > Not! As I said a Extro 3 to survive over the long term one
    > needs a "distributed replicated intelligence" -- *BUT*
    > "distribution" of ones intelligence across a solar system
    > sized object (a Matrioshka Brain) does a pretty good job of this
    > (asteroids, commets, small black holes become "minor" concerns).

    I haven't yet been to an Extro. :)

    > But distributing ones intelligence across light years makes it
    > essentially "impossible" for Lee to function as a connected
    > intelligence. So you seem to be suggesting that "Lee" is
    > a socialist or a communist and that he is colonizing for the
    > "good" of the very loosely connected collective.

    By "collectively", I meant "summed over all entities with Leeness".
    Note that I'm sure that Lee can defend his own point of view better
    than I can, and I only mentioned it as an example of how these
    discussions seem to go off track. :) It appears that I shouldn't
    have used the term "collectively", since it's so close to the
    term "collectivist", which isn't what I intended. Nor was it the
    case that I believe that Lee is interested (in this case) in
    distributing intelligence across lightyears.

    >> That is, creating Lee II is a way to get more
    >> run time for Lee I.
    >>
    >> I don't happen to agree with that, but losing track of what's
    >> been said before is exceptionally unproductive in these threads.
    >
    > No, the point I have been trying to make (it seems like over
    > and over again) is that Lee II *cannot* provide any "return
    > on investment" to Lee I.

    The thing you're missing here, Robert, is that Lee I doesn't care
    (totally, at least) about ROI to Lee I, but about benefit to any
    person who is Lee, anywhere. Or, hey, maybe I misunderstood Lee,
    and you're right. :) Only The Corbin can say.

    > The only reason that Lee I would
    > create Lee II is out of some desire to propagate and Lee I
    > would know that propagation eventually has negative consequences.

    It doesn't matter that propagation eventually has negative
    consequences, *unless* you can prevent all propagation
    by anyone, anywhere. If anyone propagates, they will be
    disproportionately the ones that get to deal with the
    resulting problem.

    >> If they had started with the assumption that GB or Spain would
    >> eventually be defeated by *someone*, they might very well have
    >> chosen to deliberately create the next set of winners. You can't
    >> prevent North America (or the intergalactic space) from being
    >> colonized, but you can try to choose what sort do the colonization.
    >
    > Perhaps. Most people do not act out of a desire to produce their
    > replacements.

    This is clearly not the case. Seen parents, much?

    > Sure you can have evolutionary drives but
    > any advanced civilization will have regulated those drives
    > (witness the declining populations in Japan and Europe).
    > Now one might produce "offspring" if it were clear that they
    > were not going to compete with you (i.e. the children of
    > advanced civilizations exit from the galaxy due to the
    > temperature and thermodynamics reasons I have suggested).

    A civilization that successfully regulates its own growth, but
    not that of others, if any, will not be highly represented at
    a given late date. Even if humans are the only existing
    intelligences (and I would guess that we are), I see no reason
    why there wouldn't be escapees.

    -- 
    Randall Randall <randall@randallsquared.com>
    "Not only can money buy happiness,
      it isn't even particularly expensive any more."  -- Spike Jones
    


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