RE: Fermi "Paradox"

From: BillK (bill@wkidston.freeserve.co.uk)
Date: Sun Aug 03 2003 - 09:33:42 MDT

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    On Sun Aug 03, 2003 02:41 am Lee Corbin speculated:

    > I fear that they would! In less than a thousand years, the Earth
    > will probably be at the center of a civilization expanding at
    > the speed of light. By the same token, if there ever are
    > aliens in the skies of Earth, they will be from a civilization
    > (when they left it) about a thousand years ahead of ours.
    >

    I have generally tended to agree with Lee's previous statement that we
    are alone and there are no aliens out there waiting to pounce on us.

    But there is another alternative that I don't remember anyone
    mentioning. Look around you. Old folk with a good pension or a pile of
    assets don't do much. Sitting on your porch in a rocking chair seems
    like a good deal to them. It is the young who haven't made their pile
    who rush around 'doing' things.

    Now if you add together increased lifespans, reducing birthrates, the
    need to be 'safe' (to protect your vastly increased lifespan) then the
    outcome seems clear.

    An OLD population with very few (or even none) young entities won't
    actually 'do' very much. You might think now that you will want to do
    lots of exciting research, world-shaping projects, etc., but the future
    reality will be very different. It's rather like a self-confident young
    man stating with supreme assurance that 'marriage and kids won't change
    me in the slightest'.

    There might well be thousands of alien civilizations out there, but they
    are all doing the vastly advanced equivalent of sitting on their front
    porch in their rocking chairs watching the universe go by.

    Just as we will.

    BillK

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