From: Anders Sandberg (asa@nada.kth.se)
Date: Mon Jul 21 2003 - 01:14:00 MDT
On Sun, Jul 20, 2003 at 09:36:31PM -0700, Ramez Naam wrote:
> > "I think we are knocking at the door of immortality," said
> > Michael Zey, a Montclair State University business professor
> > and author of two books on the future. "I think by 2075 we
> > will see it and that's a conservative estimate..."
>
> I was actually rather uncomfortable with this. Zey made this
> pronouncement without any real scientific grounding. (I saw his talk
> at World Future Society this weekend, where John Smart, Jose Cordeiro,
> and I were also speaking.)
I got a rather weird impression of Zey when I heard him a few years
back. I even have his book, and was struck by how jetsoninan it was - it
was all about a future of energy and powerful transportation, very
little bio/nano/it. It was simply oldfashioned.
Maybe he has got better, but there is still plenty of "the future is
faster, more efficient and bigger, but deep down the same" among
futurists.
-- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Anders Sandberg Towards Ascension! asa@nada.kth.se http://www.nada.kth.se/~asa/ GCS/M/S/O d++ -p+ c++++ !l u+ e++ m++ s+/+ n--- h+/* f+ g+ w++ t+ r+ !y
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