RE: Investing

From: Gary Miller (garymiller@starband.net)
Date: Wed Jun 11 2003 - 17:49:10 MDT

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    This system claims to have averaged 17.7% annual return since 1973. And
    I don't think you'd say that it exceeds average risk! Although
    dividends in the past were taxed with the president new tax bill getting
    passed these stocks whould be even more attractive. As the baby boomers
    retire more will look to these dividends as supplementing their social
    security. I wish I had followed this system instead of being greedy and
    investing exclusively in technology stocks!

    >> From http://www.dogsofthedow.com/

    Looking for a simple strategy for selecting high dividend yield Dow
    stocks for your investment portfolio? Try Dogs of the Dow. Read on and
    you will discover a strategy that would have given you a 17.7% average
    annual return since 1973! That's not bad, especially considering that
    the Dow Jones Industrial Average overall return was 11.9% during that
    same period. (As reported in U.S. News & World Report, July 8, 1996)
    And what has happened lately...

    During the tech bubble of the late 90s, the Dogs of the Dow was up 28.6%
    in 1996, up 22.2% in 1997, up 10.7% in 1998, and up 4.0% in 1999. During
    the difficult bear market years of 2000 - 2002, the Dogs of the Dow was
    up 6.4% in 2000, down 4.9% in 2001, and down 8.9% in 2002, and that was
    enough to significantly outperform the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq.

    -----Original Message-----
    From: owner-extropians@extropy.org [mailto:owner-extropians@extropy.org]
    On Behalf Of gts
    Sent: Wednesday, June 11, 2003 4:40 PM
    To: extropians@extropy.org
    Subject: RE: Investing

    Brian Atkins wrote:

    > Here's one example, there are others out there:
    >
    http://www.kc.frb.org/PUBLICAT/ECONREV/PDF/4q00shen.pdf

    There is no shortage of people who believe they have a theory for
    beating the market. The P/E ratio theory (buy when P/E is low and sell
    when P/E is
    high) is as old as the hills. It doesn't work after adjusting for risk.

    Unfortunately, nothing works for beating the market after adjusting for
    risk.

    There are on the other hand a million ways to beat the market averages
    if you're willing to assume more than average risk.

    -gts





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