RE: Killer app? RE: Extro-biz

From: Emlyn O'regan (oregan.emlyn@healthsolve.com.au)
Date: Thu Jun 05 2003 - 18:04:08 MDT

  • Next message: gts: "medical marijuana"

    I must agree with Adrian that the get big then get money plan doesn't appear
    to work.

    If you look at what the scheduler idea (you could expand it a lot to include
    all kinds of extra social networking features), it's primary goal is to be
    the killer app for wireless devices. I mean, geez, a schedule on it's own
    doesn't really get me all worked up; it's a bit dull. The point is that it
    (in some variation perhaps) could move wireless mobile computing devices out
    into the consumer market big time. And that's a very extropic goal I think.

    Following from this, there are lots of hardware and infrastructure people
    who I think are really struggling to find the killer app for their devices.
    So rather than get big first, I think you go find interested already big
    parties, and partner with them.

    I'm not a business guy (as has been amply demonstrated to many already, I'd
    warrant). But I'd say the plan of attack with something like this is to
    1 - put together a business plan,
    2 - try to hook up with someone who has or can make the contacts needed with
    a/some phone/hardware/network companies
    3 - build a prototype, targetting the right orgs' devices & infrastructure.
    The goal would likely be to make something really, really slick and easy to
    use, going for "user ecstacy" rather than too many whiz-bang features.

    Something interesting with this idea is that it probably doesn't require
    much, if anything, by way of patents. It's not about IP, it's a tool for
    pushing a technology that many wealthy entities really want to push. It's
    not a unique idea; it's actually pretty pedestrian. But I think it has legs
    in context.

    So what happens next?

    Emlyn

    > --- Dennis Fantoni <df@tdc-broadband.dk> wrote:
    > > Rough plan for action would be ( i think )
    > >
    > > 1) Get established as one of the widely used
    > > internet based scheduling
    > > solutions. ( make it free, make it superior to yahoo
    > > calender and others -
    > > this should not be that difficult )
    > > 2) ramp it up by supporting everything internet
    > > enabled and wireless ( this
    > > is technically quite easy if you have it in mind
    > > when creating the system)
    > > 3) when half the western world are customers, sell
    > > out to someone who wants
    > > the eyeballs, or figure some way to earn a
    > > respectacle revenue from the
    > > service.
    >
    > Umm...that is the canonical dotcom business plan: get
    > large *then* get income, and assume that all or most
    > of the users will stay once the income generation
    > mechanism is installed (usually, a dramatically false
    > assumption). True, many such businesses did get
    > funding, but most places that funded these types of
    > businesses have learned their lesson and will not back
    > this type of venture again. Income has to come before
    > you get big. (The earlier suggestion of starting out
    > big, by starting out as an additional feature of one
    > or a few established cell phone networks, suffices to
    > get around this since the payment method has also
    > already been established.)
    >
    > > Of course, if You pull it off, the reward when
    > > selling the company or being
    > > taken over would most probably be in the triple
    > > digit million euro range.
    > > ( look at similar companies and their worth )
    >
    > While there have been some success stories, most of
    > the existing companies with plans comparable to the
    > above aren't doing so well, and more - more than
    > average for small businesses - no longer exist (and
    > thus have a net worth of zero).



    This archive was generated by hypermail 2.1.5 : Thu Jun 05 2003 - 18:14:55 MDT