Re: Rationality of Disagreement (Was: Status of Superrationality)

From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Mon Jun 02 2003 - 14:03:40 MDT

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    --- Lee Daniel Crocker <lee@piclab.com> wrote:
    > > Eliezer Yudkowsky: "What's your estimated probability that the
    > > $20 bill is yours?"
    > > Nick Bostrom: "Fifteen percent."
    > > Eliezer Yudkowsky: "Mine is twenty percent."
    > > (Calculator referred to.)
    > > Eliezer Yudkowsky: "I'll keep the twenty. Here's eight dollars
    > and
    > > fifty-seven cents."
    > >
    > > And that's how it works.
    >
    > You guys have no spirit of adventure. I would have offered a
    > best-of-three rock/paper/scissors match.

    Ah, but my probability is 65%, since things fall out of my pockets all
    the time, so Nick and Eli can pay me, together, $39 and change... ;)

    =====
    Mike Lorrey
    "Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils."
                                                        - Gen. John Stark
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