From: Mike Lorrey (mlorrey@yahoo.com)
Date: Sun May 18 2003 - 14:15:33 MDT
--- Harvey Newstrom <mail@HarveyNewstrom.com> wrote:
> Spudboy100@aol.com wrote,
> > The rush to judgement that human release of carbon is causing
> > fiercer storms, and more frequent outbreaks, is not even a
> > scientific hypothesis yet, is it? Can you cite a paper from
> > a climatologist for this claim?
>
> Non sequitur. I never made this claim, nor do I intend to defend it.
>
> You seem to have the situation backwards. You are the one who posted
> the climatologists' data. The data clearly shows the increasing
> trend in tornadoes.
> <http://www.spc.noaa.gov/archive/tornadoes/t50-98.gif>
> You dispute this claim from the climatologists.
>
> So the real question is, can YOU cite a paper from a climatologist
> for YOUR claims?
Why this demand for authority, Harvey? I have repeatedly posted
information from my climatologist cousin, Andrew, which you have either
ignored or disputed. Why change your stripes now?
Andrew has demonstrated that the weather patterns covering North
America are part of what is called the North Atlantic Occillation,
which is related to El Nino/La Nina. An increase in tornados over land
in the south to midwest region of the US would not occur during a
period of warming. It would only occur during a period of cooling,
which the NOA is, in fact, entering and has been for the last two years
due to both cyclic inertia and the fact that the solar magnetic field
has flipped.
In fact, looking at the weather patterns over north America during this
stormy period show a rather pronounced and unusual advance SOUTHWARD of
the jet stream, caused by an influx of COLD air from Canada.
Tornados are caused by collision of air masses of significantly
different temperatures and humidity levels. We in the north east are
experiencing unseasonably cold weather right now, to the point where
large parts of Massachusetts, RI, Connecticutt, and southern NH had a
frost warning last night, a month into Spring.
Since alleged global warming has occured mostly at the poles, with no
temperature increase at the equator, this would mean that the
temperature difference between the two extremes is decreasing, which
would result in LESS SEVERE storm activity, as we have seen with less
than half as many severe cyclones worldwide in the latter half of the
20th century as in the first half.
If global warming were actually causing increases in tornado activity,
then you'd see "Tornado Alley" shift northwards into Canada as warm air
advanced northward to collide with northern air masses.
Instead, what we are seeing is an increase in activity caused by the
North Atlantic Occilation, a phenomenon which is responsible for much
of the warming in North America and Europe over the last 20-30 years.
We are now headed into a period of cooling which will last a similar
period. Whether there is any net positive temperature difference at the
end of a full cycle of the NAO remains to be seen, but the data claimed
by pro-global warming climatologists generally contradicts both real
observations as well as the alleged conclusions.
=====
Mike Lorrey
"Live Free or Die, Death is not the Worst of Evils."
- Gen. John Stark
Blog: Sado-Mikeyism: http://mikeysoft.blogspot.com/
Flight sims: http://www.x-plane.org/greendragon
Pro-tech freedom discussion:
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/exi-freedom
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