Re: Empirical crowd estimates

From: spike66 (spike66@attbi.com)
Date: Sat Feb 22 2003 - 13:48:52 MST

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    Michael M. Butler wrote:
    >
    > Let's hear it for LOS BRINISTAS OF THE SKY! Eyelevel estimates finally get
    > a reasonable challenge.

    Brinistas are guilty of injecting some objectivity into
    the passion of a protest rally.

    > Bear in mind that a snapshot doesn't characterize the "churn" if any of
    > the crowd.
    > To do that well, we would need to (oppressively?) track ins-and-outs
    > somehow. MMB

    No need for that at all. Instead of reporting how
    many people were at a rally, report the number of
    human-hours were at such an event. There will be always
    a number of people who attend just long enough to
    make the scene and say they were present, should it
    become advantageous to do so, with little real interest
    in the cause.

    A high flying Brincopter or equivalent, taking one photo
    every minute for the entire duration, then integrating
    over time would give a more accurate and meaningful
    estimate of attendance. It would be interesting to then
    compare to a rock concert or the Bay to Breakers rallies,
    a ball game or perhaps even a typical day at Disneyland.

    I would also want to compare the crowd to the ordinary
    background rabble of proles one finds in any urban area.
    I could go to Times Square at noon Monday with a ladder
    and a bullhorn, shouting slogans in favor of universal
    surveillance, then claim that 100k people attended my
    rally.

    Just telling me how many people attended is meaningless.
    I want to know how many are there for how long and how
    many really mean it.

    spike



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