From: Extropian Agro Forestry Ventures Inc. (megao@sk.sympatico.ca)
Date: Tue Feb 11 2003 - 16:13:47 MST
Know what, that is where the "new cold war" comes in.
It takes military style spending and drive for things like a global
integrated information gathering, processing, management system to be
the deep pockets customers to drive technology through the rough spots.
The soviet cold war spawned the space program.
"Captain Osama Insano and the wacky iraqi packi's " have spawned a drive
to build out a global "mind".
It takes the rasing of the general level of 3rd world living to bring
the other 5 billion consumers into the global economy to fuel demand.
The key is to keep the bubbles from exploding so fast that the whole
cake flops as it is rising and cooking.
True all the old stuff is still good for something...technology
retooled/rebuilt Agriculture is just now getting GPS, integrated
information management and as cost comes down a strange thing is
happening. "everything old is becoming new again" Farms are migrating
from medieval acerages where every bush has a name to farms of 25-150
square miles in size that have information systems that know every bush
by name. Integrating nature/historical life with information/driven
life should drive a lot more consumption of information management
machinery. Research/product biotech product development loops will also
be big consumers. Afraid to say but true, the human element will also
have to be upgraded soon and that is going to take monumental
computational horsepower.
So moore's law has a lot of life left yet.
Spudboy100@aol.com wrote:
> Nanowave noted:
> <<http://www.redherring.com/insider/2003/02/moore021003.html >>
>
> Good article but forget about forgeting. Moores Law will be held as a
> standard, and will be remembered as the bright light of the glory days
> of computing. I will err on the side of pessimism, in this case,
> because there may be a practical limit, in electronics, for our epoch.
> Other systems may come along, providing optical laser computing, or
> bio-source computing. But they won't imitate silicon's amazing growth
> during the 20th and early 21st centuries.
>
> Like I said, I will err on the side of pessimism today. Maybe the new
> epoch will bring rapid advances in genetic technology, materials
> science, and perhaps even interplanetary travel. So it may be, away
> from the realm of Gates, and back to the establishment of Heinlein,
> made flesh?
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