Re: shooting room note

Eliezer Yudkowsky (
Tue, 31 Dec 1996 10:53:40 -0600

> See if you can modify the game so that the majority of players are still
> in the last round, there is an "average number of players", and the
> number of players still increases by an integer factor in each round.
> I wasn't able to do it.

Chance of next round = 35/36, increase = 10 times. Series does not

Change of next round = 1/36, increase = 10 times. Series converges, but
now it terminates almost immediately.

Now the paradox is reversed; 90% of the players will see the last round,
but there's a 96% (?) chance that a given round will end.

--       Eliezer S. Yudkowsky

Disclaimer:  Unless otherwise specified, I'm not telling you
everything I think I know.