Re: COMP: Physics and computation: two papers
Wed, 18 Dec 1996 20:30:55 -0500 (EST)

Max More wrote:

> The completed Intel machine (made entirely from Pentium Pro microprocessors)
> will be several times faster than the announced result. A 10-teraflops
> machine is expected by 2001.

A 5 teraflops machine is expected by 1999, and a 15 teraflops machine
is expected by 2002. These numbers are the projection of a different
company (my current Corporate Masters, actually) for a different

Regarding the Intel machines, I'm curious as to the stability and
robustness of the devices-- how long are they expected to operate
between scheduled maintenance breaks?

>The ASCI folks reckon we may ahve a
> 500-teraflops machine by 2005.

That strikes me as _slightly_ optimistic, given that I know the 15 TF
machine by 2002 is pretty much a bleeding edge goal, as of this year.

But I wouldn't be at all surprised to see (wets thumb, to test the
wind) 100 TF or so.

John S. Novak, III 
The Humblest Man on the Net