Re: Blue Gene

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (
Mon, 06 Dec 1999 15:08:25 -0600

Dan Hook wrote:
> The chances of developing a seed AI before military nanotech seem
> increasingly dismal. The best hope now would appear to be completion of a
> nanotech design for a terrestrial evacuation system before we have actual
> assemblers. This is still an enormously complex project, but it appears
> to be simpler than creating a mind. The problem is that it requires
> skills less prevalent than computer programming, requires more expensive
> equipment, and is not likely to produce profitable spinoffs in the mean
> time. Perhaps I just don't have enough imagination for the last one.
> Ideas would be helpful.

I'm certainly starting to factor nanotech evacuation preplanning into my schemes. Drexler just has too much of a head start on me. But on the other hand, we can look at this optimistically; with enough luck, 2005 could see the debut of reasonably good AI. Maybe enough for seed AI, given massive computing power; enough for a nanotech-domain AI to predesign a complete evacuation system, otherwise.

As JKC points out, protein folding doesn't translate directly to drextech. We'll still have a couple of years to try and rent out Blue Gene or the equivalent. Since I gave up on the idea of running distributed over the Internet, my visualization called for the development of massive supercomputers in any case, 'though I was hoping they'd be rented out. (But building a research machine is certainly a step toward building more.)

Both versions of the apocalypse remain on schedule.

           Eliezer S. Yudkowsky
Running on BeOS           Typing in Dvorak          Programming with Patterns
Voting for Libertarians   Heading for Singularity   There Is A Better Way