hal@finney.org wrote:
>
> John Thomas, <jwthom@earthlink.net>, writes:
> >
> > Apologies if someone's already called attention to this, but the
> > Disinformation web site is featuring the work of Hans Moravec at
> > http://www.disinfo.com/disinfo?p=folder&title=Hans+Moravec with a number of
> > interesting links and interviews.
>
> One funny note: Moravec now predicts, "Machines will attain human
> levels of intelligence by the year 2040." In his earlier book Mind
> Children, published in 1988, he predicted that computing power capable of
> human-level AI "would be available in a $10 million supercomputer before
> 2010 and in a $1,000 personal computer by 2030." So in the approximately
> ten years since that book he has pushed out the achievement of AI by
> ten to thirty years. This is not a very encouraging rate of progress...
I just have to point out that "machines will attain human level intelligence" != "computing power CAPABLE of human-level AI"
-- "A man makes a picture/A moving picture/Through light projected/He can see himself up close/*Gotta meet her there*/A man captures colour/ *She's your destination*/A man likes to stare/*There's no sleeping there*/He turns his money into light/*She's imagination*/To look for her/She is the dreamer/She's imagination" -U2, Lemon