Re: coin flipping

Anders Sandberg (
28 Oct 1999 12:38:25 +0200

Rob Harris <> writes:

> And I assert that probability exists only as a fix for uncertainty in
> systems one wishes to predict that have too many variables of too high a
> complexity to track. Probability will become obsolete with the arrival of
> the necessary technology. Or will it? What do you think?

There are processes that are too complex for any finite system to predict. Many of the most interesting and relevant systems in the universe are chaotic and highly influenced by weak interactions from the environment. In these cases you would still need probability. Remember, probability is best viewed as uncertainty (yes, I'm a Bayesian too :-), and no matter what our level of technology, we will have uncertainty due to limitations in information processing, sensing abilities, information storage and complexity.

Anders Sandberg                                      Towards Ascension!                  
GCS/M/S/O d++ -p+ c++++ !l u+ e++ m++ s+/+ n--- h+/* f+ g+ w++ t+ r+ !y