At 12:20 PM 9/30/1999 -0700, you wrote:
> > > (b) Reanimate using the first upload technology. ...
> >
> > That is my choice. I expect the first unfrozen will be uploads,
> > and the first uploads will be the unfrozen. As I've argued
> > before, descendants of the first uploads stand a good chance of
> > grabbing a big chunk of all future wealth, just from selling
> > their labor.
> >
>
>By "descendants", should I assume you mean self-evolved or
>copied entities?
>So you think there are/will be frozen people who say "use the
>first available technology to upload" (even if the failure rate
>is say 70%)?
I mean copies at first. If the brain scans are thorough, they can experiment with lots of upload approaches without risking losing the mind. And I think people will be willing to destructively scan frozen brains before they'd do it to live brains.
>The question becomes what is "future wealth" and to what degree
>"labor" in any traditional sense will be displaced by "non-conscious"
>machines. From my perspective, the only wealth that might exist in
>the future is intellectual property (i.e. designs). But I think
>their value may be quite limited by open source designs.
Some of my thoughts are described at:
http://hanson.gmu.edu/uploads.html
http://hanson.gmu.edu/aigrow.pdf
Robin Hanson rhanson@gmu.edu http://hanson.gmu.edu
Asst. Prof. Economics, George Mason University
MSN 1D3, Carow Hall, Fairfax VA 22030
703-993-2326 FAX: 703-993-2323