At 02:06 AM 12/12/98 -0500, Han Huang wrote:
>The chance you escape it for 2 year
>straight is 159/160 * 159/160, because we're assuming every year's
>risk is independent of the past. The chance you escape for 50 years
>is:
>
> 159
> --- to the 50th power = 0.7309 or 73%
> 160
>
> 100% - 73% = 27%.
Urk. I see, my bad. I really should refrain from posting comments before I've put my brain in.
Thanks for your patience.
Damien Broderick