Re: Technology evolves, ergo automation evolves, until...

Eliezer S. Yudkowsky (
Mon, 02 Nov 1998 23:38:46 -0600

Jeff Davis wrote:
> In his Re: Automated Workforce post of 12 July to the Extropians list Danny <>, wrote:
> >definately accomplishable if we really wanted to do it (I think they said
> >between 1 and 100 billion dollars). If its global every country could
> >contribute who wanted a part of it, it would become free to the consumer.

I could build a transhuman intelligence for the same estimated price. In fact, back in the 70s, Pounelle was offering to build an O'Neill colony for $25G. "Between $1G and $100G" is the hypertech equivalent of "your remodeled basement/computer program/training should take two weeks", which always equals six months. In fact, this is henceforth to be known as Yudkowsky's Translation: Any job which is estimated to take two weeks will take six months.

Now, if you'd said $400G I might believe it, just like I'd believe an estimate of three weeks.

--         Eliezer S. Yudkowsky

Disclaimer:  Unless otherwise specified, I'm not telling you
everything I think I know.