Mike Linksvayer (
Sun, 25 Oct 1998 19:40:49 -0800

Randall Randall wrote:
> Curiously, the
> people most knowledgeable about nanotech predict the shortest
> times until we have it (e.g. Zyvex' website claims that they
> will have an assembler within 5-10 years).

Not a prediction, just a random thought: If nanotech is anything like software, they'll be 90% finished in 10 years, and the other 90% will take 90 years.

Unfortunately, it looks like the only two nanotech-related claims on the idea futures exchange both specify 'by 2000' and aren't

doing well...

(last trade of 12 and 5 (of 100) respectively)

Given that the exchange is run by the Foresight Institute I'm surprised there aren't more nanotech claims.

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