Re: Understanding Economic Growth

Robin Hanson (hanson@econ.Berkeley.EDU)
Tue, 02 Dec 1997 15:15:20 -0800

Peter McCluskey writes:
>How has the difference between the highest nations and the median
>been changing? This seems more important for determining the risk that
>we will be conquered by some other region that makes a major technological
>breakthrough.

One article (in recent J. Econ. Persp.) fits a Markov model to recent changes
(some countries do very well, some very bad), and then projects evolution out
into the future. By this model, it's unlikely the U.S. would fall very far
below the top for quite some time.

>How could birth rate control contribute to growth?

I referred to "per capita" growth rates.

Robin Hanson
hanson@econ.berkeley.edu http://hanson.berkeley.edu/
RWJF Health Policy Scholar, Sch. of Public Health 510-643-1884
140 Warren Hall, UC Berkeley, CA 94720-7360 FAX: 510-643-8614