I just did some extrapolations based on the last decade
of semiconductor industry trends.
If one had no "bumps" in the road, one would reach attometer
(10^-18 m) technology scales around ~Y2235. If we conquer
aging in the next 30 years, this time is well within the
potential life expectancy of anyone currently under ~40-50 y.o.
Of course things get very questionable around 2060 when one
crosses over the atomic to subatomic scale. (Note for those
of you on the list who are less that ~25 Y.O. -- *even* if
relatively little changes in the health care field, you will
probably be alive during this period).
Note that this does not "reasonably" reflect accelerations
due to early singularity effects. I have to do a bit more
research to include those in this prediction.
Robert
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