Re: Singularity Blindness

From: Zero Powers (zero_powers@hotmail.com)
Date: Tue Oct 23 2001 - 21:46:21 MDT


>From: BigBooster <fm1@amug.org>

>Has anyone discussed the possibility that most
>humans are "culturally conditioned" to experience
>and expect change as linear, rather than exponential?
>
>Could most human brains even to some extent be
>hard-wired with linear expectations?

Ray Kurzweil harps on that phenomenon in his writings. It makes sense.
Progress has always been on an exponential curve. But since at the start of
the curve it is flat, even exponential change is barely noticeable. Now
that we are fairly well into the curve we are starting to see the
exponential nature of technological advance. My guess is that within the
next couple decades we will come to expect continual paradigm altering
advances. I expect we will even come to be comfortable with our society
becoming repeatedly racked with paradigm changes.

-Zero

"I'm a seeker too. But my dreams aren't like yours. I can't help thinking
that somewhere in the universe there has to be something better than man.
Has to be." -- George Taylor _Planet of the Apes_ (1968)

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