Re: predictions if wave passed here

From: Adrian Tymes (
Date: Wed Oct 18 2000 - 20:29:43 MDT

Robin Hanson wrote:
> Adrian Tymes wrote:
> >What about parasitical launchers which can only survive where others
> >have gone before, but which can take advantage of the already-processed
> >resources to go faster (up to the frontier)? They would spread faster
> >than that which expands the frontier...
> This just can't happen in my model. If the original owner of the launcher
> could have benefited by staying a little longer they would have. The
> reason they left is that they thought staying longer would make them
> go slower in net.

Err...I don't get it. Just because the original owner *thought* that X
was the optimal time, doesn't mean the original owner was correct.
Some unforseen advance or discovery, unknown and unknowable at time X,
might in fact make X+Y the optimal time...or, at least, a better time
(judged by speed of colonization) than X.

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